Key takeaways (aka The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly 🤪)
Why did Bitcoin fail in October 2025?
BTC took a nosedive 📉 like a lead balloon at a helium party. Retail investors ghosted it harder than a ex at a wedding. Network activity? Slower than a sloth on melatonin. Macro pressures? More crushing than a bear hug from Vin Diesel.
Can November bring a rally?
November’s historically BTC’s prom night 🎉-think 2020, 2021, 2023. Fingers crossed for a slow dance with the Fed’s rate cut. Spoiler alert: It’s not looking good. 😅
‘Uptober’? More like ‘Upt-oh-no’ 🤭.
Instead of moonlambo dreams, Bitcoin [BTC] pulled a Wile E. Coyote-slipped, tripped, and face-planted into $110K. Retail? MIA. Network activity? Quieter than a library at 3 AM.
Can the rally continue in November? Can my uncle Jerry stop telling dad jokes? Let’s see… 🤔
BTC struggled, all eyes on November (aka The Sequel Nobody Asked For)
BTC tanked from $118K to $110K like a poorly timed punchline. Mid-month red candles? More explosive than a pyrotechnics convention. RSI? Lower than my expectations for a Marvel sequel. EMAs? BTC’s trading under them like a kid sneaking out past curfew.

Macro factors? More toxic than a breakup text. Fed rate cut hopes? Evaporated like perfume on a sauna bench. U.S. equities? Flexing harder than a gym bro. China’s crypto stance? Strict as a school principal. “DAT companies” in DC? More confusing than a IKEA manual.

But wait! November’s BTC’s comeback special. CoinGlass says 8.81% median returns since 2013. 2020? 2021? 2023? Double digits! (Spoiler: 2022 was a disaster. 🙈)

Positive catalysts? Let’s roll the hype train 🚂:
- Trump vs. Xi? Truce! Geopolitical drama on pause. 🎬
- Fed rate cut odds? 60%+! Cue the confetti. 🎉
- QT ends Dec 1st! Liquidity buffet, anyone? 🍽️
- ETF approvals? Maybe! Fingers crossed harder than a yoga pose. 🤞
Is the tide turning? Or just a mirage in crypto-desert? 🌵
Retail fear by the numbers (aka Panic Like a Viral Meme)
Open Interest jumped 10% ($7.95B → $8.65B) as BTC flirted with $110K. But CVD cratered-retail’s betting on a crash like it’s Black Friday at a Walmart. 🛒💣

Active addresses? Down 26.1% from 1.18M → 872K. Transaction fees? Plunged from $8.44 → $0.56. Retail’s ghosting like a bad date. 💸👻

Reduced activity? Blocks emptier than a Monday morning meeting. Retail’s absence = crypto’s version of a “dry spell.” 🏜️

Bottom line: Cycles are longer than my grandma’s stories. Rally’s delayed, not canceled. Maybe. 🤷♂️

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2025-11-01 17:27