Markets

What to know:
- BTC looks oversold, according to the 14-day RSI indicator. (Translation: “Maybe slow down there, Bitcoin!”)
- The oversold reading means the downtrend has been so relentless it might just take a breather. (Can you blame it?)
- The RSI, however, is like that one friend who always claims to know the way, but is often wrong. It’s unreliable on its own.
This is a technical analysis post by CoinDesk analyst and Chartered Market Technician Omkar Godbole. Yes, Omkar sounds like he knows his stuff, and weâre sure he does.
So hereâs the latest thrill ride: a technical indicator is flashing a “slow down” sign for Bitcoin. Itâs a bit like your GPS telling you to take the next exit when youâre already halfway through a cliffhanger scene in an action movie.
BTCâs price crashed below $90,000 early Tuesday-down a whopping 28% from its all-time high of $126,000 just last month. Ouch. As a result, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI)-that oh-so-popular tool to gauge momentum-has plummeted below 30. This is the “oversold” zone, meaning the downtrend has been so brutal that even Bitcoin might need a coffee break. đ¶ââïž
But, wait. Donât run to your nearest crypto exchange just yet. RSI oversold conditions? Well, they can be as deceptive as your exâs “Iâm totally over it” texts. RSI can stay in the “oversold” zone much longer than youâd think, and many seasoned traders treat it like a neon sign flashing âmomentum still in freefallâ instead of âtime to buy the dip.â
So what really matters? Itâs all about the price action. Traders need to keep an eye out for support levels or any fancy candlestick formations like Doji or candles with long lower wicks. Those are the signs that the selling pressure might be giving up, and Bitcoin might just consider a rebound. (Hopefully with a bit more enthusiasm this time.)
The last time the RSI dropped below 30 was in late February, and guess what? Bitcoin was under $80,000 at the time. That was followed by a little dip near $75,000 in early April, before things started looking up. But hey, donât start putting your bets down yet. Keep watching closely for similar signs, and donât let your hopes get too high. đ

Because so many traders track the RSI, it can sometimes turn into a self-fulfilling prophecy. In other words, if enough people react to the indicator, they might just cause the thing to become true. Magic, right?
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2025-11-18 07:57