It was an autumn evening, or perhaps a late afternoon, when the crypto world found itself once again in the throes of chaos. The October 10th debacle, a spectacle of liquidations so fierce it could have been mistaken for a theatrical performance, left many spectators bewildered. The derivatives markets, those ever-fickle performers, had their curtain call, and the audience-investors, analysts, and the general public-were left wondering if the show was over or merely intermission.
Binance, that grand stage of crypto activity, did not take center stage this time. Instead, it stood quietly in the wings, its liquidation footprint smaller than expected, as if politely declining the spotlight. One might say it was practicing restraint, though the reasons remained as opaque as the market itself.
Now, the market, that fickle creature, has settled into a melancholic state. Bitcoin, once a proud steed, now trots below $80,000, while Ethereum, its companion, has slipped under $2,300. The air is thick with uncertainty, and the analysts, those modern-day prophets, whisper of a bearish phase, though their predictions are as reliable as the weather in a Russian winter.
Amid this gloom, a new act has begun. Arkham, that diligent observer of the crypto stage, reports that Binance’s SAFU fund has acquired 1,315 BTC-$100 million worth of Bitcoin-within the last hour. While the rest of the market trembles, Binance’s SAFU fund seems to be playing a game of chess, its moves calculated yet enigmatic. One wonders if this is a defensive maneuver or a bold bet, but the answer, like the market, remains elusive.
Binance Under Scrutiny as the Market Searches for Direction
The analysts, ever eager to assign blame, have turned their gaze toward Binance and its founder, a man whose name is now whispered with equal parts reverence and suspicion. The exchange’s dominance in derivatives trading, its deep liquidity, and its influence on funding rates have made it a target, though the evidence of its culpability remains as thin as a page from a forgotten novel.
Yet, despite the accusations, no concrete proof has emerged to suggest that Binance orchestrated the recent sell-off. Liquidation data tells a tale of widespread leverage, with Binance’s share of forced liquidations modest compared to its market size. This weakens the argument that the exchange is the primary culprit, though the narrative persists, as stubborn as a Russian proverb.
What is more likely, however, is that Binance is merely a pawn in a larger game. The market’s structural issues-excessive leverage, thinning liquidity, and fragile sentiment-have created a perfect storm, one that amplifies any move, regardless of its origin. The coming days will reveal whether this is a temporary setback or the beginning of a deeper, more ominous phase.
Bitcoin Breaks Key Weekly Structure
Bitcoin’s weekly chart, that ever-reliable barometer of market sentiment, reveals a shift as profound as a change of seasons. The $80,000 level, once a bastion of hope, has fallen, and the 50-week moving average, that steadfast guardian, has been breached. The rejection near the mid-$90K mark marked a lower high, a sign that the market’s optimism has been tempered by reality.

Now, Bitcoin trades below both the 50-week and 100-week moving averages, while the 200-week line, that distant horizon, continues its slow ascent. This configuration, reminiscent of a ship adrift, signals a transition phase where momentum has turned, but the long-term support remains untested. The recent descent toward $74,000-$78,000 brings Bitcoin back to a former battleground, a place where the crowd once gathered, but which now offers only fleeting solace.
Volume dynamics, that faithful companion of market analysis, add to the cautionary tale. Selling pressure has grown, while rebounds have been met with weak volume, suggesting that buyers lack conviction. This pattern, akin to a waning fire, points to distribution rather than accumulation.
Unless Bitcoin can reclaim and hold above the 50-week moving average, the path of least resistance remains downward. In this context, the market appears to be entering a corrective or early bear phase, with further downside risk still looming, as if the market itself is holding its breath, waiting for the next act to unfold.
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2026-02-03 12:27