Key takeaway:
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BTC derivatives metrics show traders taking precautions, but no one’s freaking out yet. Seriously, where’s the drama? 🥱
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Bitcoin ETF outflows and tech sector weakness are keeping the party subdued. Confidence in Bitcoin holding above $89,000? Yeah, not so much. 🙄
Bitcoin (BTC) retested the $89,000 level on Wednesday after failing to recover $93,500 the day before. The move surprised traders and led to $144 million in liquidations from leveraged bullish BTC positions. But hey, Bitcoin derivatives markets showed stability, so apparently, it’s all good? 🤷♂️
Bitcoin’s monthly futures premium hovered around 4% above spot markets on Wednesday, slightly below the 5% neutral level. Some analysts claimed it briefly went negative, but aggregated data says otherwise. A discount in futures contracts usually screams bearish confidence, but nah, not today. 🐻 (Or is it 🐂? Who knows!)
Bitcoin traders are cautious but not panicking. Where’s the fun in that? 🎭
To see if retail traders were hit harder, let’s look at perpetual futures. These contracts mirror spot markets and rely on a funding rate to balance leverage. Normally, longs pay between 6% and 12% annually, but rates below that scream bearish. 🐻
The BTC perpetual futures funding rate was around 4% on Wednesday, same as the past two weeks. Still bearish, but no panic or excessive confidence from bears. Weakness seems backward-looking, as Bitcoin’s been trending lower since its Oct. 6 high. 📉
The BTC options delta skew stayed close to 11% this week, meaning traders haven’t adjusted their risk outlook much. Put options trade above calls, showing whales and market makers are uneasy, but it’s not extreme stress. 🐋
Traders’ sentiment is down due to five straight sessions of net outflows from Bitcoin ETFs. Over $2.26 billion has exited, creating sell pressure, but it’s less than 2% of the overall Bitcoin ETF market. So, shrug emoji? 🤷♀️
Tech giants like Oracle, Ubiquiti, Oklo, and Roblox have fallen 19%+ in the last 30 days. Risk-off positioning isn’t just a crypto thing-it’s also linked to US job market concerns. Sectors tied to AI infrastructure? Getting hit hardest. 🤖
Consumer pressure adds to the mix, thanks to the US government shutdown that lasted until Nov. 12. Target cut its full-year profit outlook and warned of a softer holiday season because, you know, affordability is a thing. Inflation’s also limiting the Fed’s ability to lower rates. 📉💰
Nvidia’s upcoming quarterly results? Some analysts are questioning its AI investments in its own customers. Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s digital-gold narrative is shaky, and reclaiming $95,000 hinges on macroeconomic improvement. So, fingers crossed? 🤞
Disclaimer: This article is for general info only, not legal or investment advice. The views expressed here are the author’s and don’t reflect CryptoMoon’s opinions. Yeah, we’re covering our bases here. 🚩
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2025-11-20 03:14