Bitcoin’s Calm Before the Storm: Long-Term Holders Join the Fun! 🚀

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Well, would you look at that? The Bitcoin selling pressure is finally easing, as those long-term holders have decided to stop distributing like it’s going out of style. Meanwhile, ETFs are happily gobbling up the supply, and exchange balances are falling faster than my willpower in front of a chocolate cake.

Bitcoin’s price has been playing a game of hopscotch between $85,000 and $90,000, which is about as stable as my internet connection during a Zoom call. The long-term holders have hit the brakes on their selling spree, creating what financial wizards like to call “potential accumulation zones.” Sounds fancy, right?

Indicators from derivatives and on-chain metrics suggest that BTC might be inching closer to a support level. And no, not the kind of support you get from a friend during a breakup, but the financial kind that keeps your investment afloat.

Long-Term Holders Finally Decide to Chill Out

According to CryptosRus (and they should know), long-term holders have waved goodbye to their heavy Bitcoin distribution habits. After a whirlwind romance with selling, they’ve decided to return to net accumulation, which sounds like a great new diet plan: Eat less, accumulate more.

This sudden shift in behavior represents the largest drop in sell-side pressure since 2019, which coincidentally was also the year I lost my phone in a couch cushion for three months. Fewer sellers typically lead to reduced volatility, although don’t expect price changes to start doing cartwheels anytime soon.

THE BIGGEST BITCOIN SELLERS JUST STOPPED SELLING! Yes, you heard it right! Long-term holders are back to accumulating after an extended vacation from the market.

This is the most significant easing of sell-side pressure since 2019. Talk about a plot twist!

When long-term holders stop feeding supply into…

– CryptosRus (@CryptosR_Us)

In the last 24 hours, only 221 BTC were shuffled around by long-term holders. The long-term Holder Distribution Pressure Index is reading a rather unimpressive negative 1.623, which basically means minimal market exit. It’s like watching a parade with all the floats parked and nobody showing up.

CryptosRus points out that such conditions are typically cozy with accumulation phases and potential price stability-like a warm blanket on a cold winter night, if you’re into that sort of thing.

ETF funds are continuing to soak up BTC supply like a sponge in a puddle, while treasury firms are adding coins during those oh-so-tantalizing small price dips. Retail investors? They seem to be taking a long, thoughtful nap, while market fear is still doing its best impression of a horror movie soundtrack.

Analysts have come to the conclusion that markets often turn around when sellers disappear, not when buyers suddenly decide to throw money around like confetti. Who knew?

Bitcoin MVRV and Derivatives: The Stability Chronicles

Bitcoin’s Market Value to Realized Value Z score indicates our dear asset is lounging comfortably in a historically low-risk zone. Imagine it sipping a piña colada on a beach somewhere.

The MVRV Z score compares the current market value to the realized coin value, and right now, it’s sitting at levels that historically have coincided with recovery phases and accumulation cycles. A bit like waiting for your laundry to dry, but much more exciting!

In terms of derivatives data, $31M in BTC contracts were liquidated in the past 24 hours, which shows just how jittery leveraged traders can be. It’s like watching someone hold a live grenade and hoping for the best.

Meanwhile, open interest has risen by 2.21% to $133.84 billion, indicating that people are still willing to play in this market sandbox. Just don’t forget your sunscreen!

Exchange reserves have plummeted to roughly 2.5 million BTC, signaling there aren’t many coins left for immediate selling. It’s like a party where everyone is fighting over the last slice of pizza.

This delightful combination of MVRV signals, derivative activity, and dwindling exchange balances points toward a consolidation phase. Analysts think this is a golden opportunity for some cheeky accumulation. 🍕

Related Reading: Bitcoin’s $80K-$140K Range: What 2026 Holds

Bitcoin Price and Market Trends: The Fine Art of Waiting

Bitcoin’s price has been holding its breath between $87,000 and $88,919-much like I hold my breath when I run into an ex. This little stability act corresponds with reduced long-term holder selling and low exchange balances. It’s almost poetic.

BTC dominance is hanging around 58%-60%, demonstrating that investors are still focused on Bitcoin like it’s the only show in town.

Altcoins are trying to create some momentum, but overall market sentiment remains as cautious as a cat near a vacuum cleaner. The Fear and Greed Index currently sits at 30, reflecting ongoing market uncertainty. It’s like a rollercoaster ride, but without any of the fun.

Open interest growth and active derivatives trading suggest some traders are ready to pounce on potential rebounds. Additionally, historical patterns indicate that when sell-side pressure decreases, price floors tend to form gradually before skyrocketing upward-just like my expectations for dinner plans!

With long-term holders accumulating Bitcoin, coupled with derivatives activity and MVRV analysis, we’re looking at a low-risk environment-at least until it isn’t. A stable BTC price, declining exchange balances, and continued institutional buying create conditions supportive of consolidation. 

Market participants will be keeping their eyes peeled for signs of future price shifts, because who doesn’t love a good plot twist?

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2026-01-03 17:00