There’s a certain kind of desperation in the air, like the wind before a dust storm, as the nation’s most powerful financial minds gather to choose a new guardian for the dollar. And lo, the spotlight falls on a man who once called Bitcoin “durable” and now whispers of a “neutral rate” that might as well be a riddle wrapped in a parable.
Rick Rieder, a man whose name is spoken with equal parts reverence and suspicion, has found himself in the crosshairs of fate. What began as a quiet murmur in the halls of BlackRock has grown into a roar, as the odds of his ascension to the Fed’s throne climb like a stubborn vine through the cracks of Wall Street’s marble floors.
Polymarket, that modern-day oracle of speculation, now tells us Rieder’s chances are 32%-a number that would make a farmer proud, if only the harvest weren’t so uncertain. He’s not the leader, mind you, but close enough to make the others sweat. Kevin Warsh, the former governor, holds the lead, but in the world of finance, even a whisper can shift the tides.
The twist came when Rieder was seen in the Oval Office, a visit that stirred more gossip than a saloon in a frontier town. Some say it was a meeting; others, a pact. But the truth, like a banknote in a storm, is hard to pin down.
The Neutral Rate Pitch
Jerome Powell, that old guardian of inflation, has clung to his “higher for longer” mantra, a stubbornness as deep as the roots of an oak. But Rieder? He’s a man who sees the future in digital gold, arguing that the “neutral rate” is no more than a myth. He claims it’s 3%, a number so small it’s almost laughable-unless you’re the Fed, and your hands are tied by the weight of the world.
And let’s not forget his love for U.S. deficits, a habit as risky as gambling with a loaded gun. “Global demand is robust,” he says, as if the rest of the world is a loyal dog waiting to fetch his bones. But what of the debt? What of the reckoning? Rieder, it seems, is a man who plays with fire and expects the flames to dance to his tune.
A Long-Time Bitcoin Supporter
Back in 2021, Rieder called Bitcoin “interesting,” a word so vague it could describe a sunrise or a stock market crash. But now, with BlackRock’s ETFs swelling like a river after rain, his words ring with a strange kind of prophecy. “Durable,” he said. A word that, in the hands of a man like Rieder, sounds less like a promise and more like a dare.
And here we are, in 2026, watching as BlackRock’s $70 billion empire looms over the landscape like a skyscraper built on sand. Alexander Grieve, that sharp-tongued advocate of crypto, quips that BlackRock is now the “kingmaker of both Bitcoin and the Fed.” A man who once dreamed of digital gold now holds the keys to the kingdom. What a tale of irony that is.
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2026-01-23 00:56