Clarity Act’s Odds Skyrocket to 82%: Is a Crypto Revolution on the Horizon?

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Lo and behold! The probability of the illustrious Clarity Act-in all its pomp and circumstance-being graced with the signature of approval in the year of our Lord 2026 has ascended to a staggering 82% on the mystical realm known as Polymarket, as if it were a phoenix rising from the ashes!

This remarkable surge, akin to a sudden gust of wind on a calm day, comes just before a fateful deadline to propel this key piece of crypto legislation into the limelight.

Polymarket Declares a New Era of Faith in the Clarity Act as Negotiations Heat Up

In an astonishing twist of fate, data from the oracle of Polymarket reveals that the likelihood of the Clarity Act transforming from mere words on parchment into actual law has spiked dramatically over a mere span of 48 hours. From a humble 60% on February 18, it has climbed to a dizzying peak of 82% today, as if propelled by the very hands of fate!

At the moment of this scribe’s writing, the figure has settled at a modest 78%, still a considerable leap forward, indicating a burgeoning confidence within the marketplace regarding the bill’s prospects-like a cat eyeing a bowl of cream.

But let us not mistake this optimism for mere whimsy! The titans of industry, those grand executives, are also stirring the pot of progress with their predictions. In a delightful tête-à-tête with Fox Business, Ripple’s grand chieftain, Brad Garlinghouse, proclaimed with the confidence of a rooster at dawn that there exists a 90% chance the oft-debated Clarity Act will see the light of day by the close of April.

“The White House is expending great effort on this initiative, which is a primary reason this will indeed come to pass. It must happen for the sake of US leadership,” he declared, as if orchestrating a symphony of legislative triumph.

WATCH: Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse confidently asserts a 90% chance of the Clarity Act passing by the end of April.

– BeInCrypto (@beincrypto) February 19, 2026

The swell of optimism among the common folk comes just as the White House endeavors to hasten negotiations forward. Word on the street is that a deadline of March 1 has emerged, poised to advance the legislation ahead of the midterm tumult.

White House Hosts Triumphant Third Gathering as Clarity Act Deadline Approaches

The Clarity Act, that ambitious beacon aimed at establishing a regulatory framework for digital assets, seeks to delineate the oft-muddled waters between the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)-a task worthy of Hercules himself!

Though the legislation gallantly passed the House last July, its Senate sibling remains entangled in a web of indecision. The crux of the matter lies in the contentious debate between banks and crypto firms, particularly surrounding the tantalizing topic of stablecoin yields. Just last month, Coinbase withdrew its support faster than one can say “regulatory chaos.”

The CLARITY Act has undergone a metamorphosis! The Senate’s amendments have granted the SEC even more power, demanded further disclosures, tightened the rules around stablecoins, and introduced oversight of DeFi.

Coinbase has already raised its flag in opposition to this version ❌

– BeInCrypto (@beincrypto) January 14, 2026

The administration has orchestrated multiple gatherings with representatives from crypto firms and banking institutions, with a third meeting convened just Thursday past. Such discussions have become the talk of the town, where a representative of the crypto realm suggested that the banks’ anxieties may stem more from competitive jealousy than genuine fears about a flight of deposits.

A source speaking on behalf of the banking fraternity insisted that they seek further analysis on how these shiny new stablecoins could potentially rattle the very foundations of traditional deposits.

“Bank trade groups will furnish their members with insights from today’s discussions and will assess whether a compromise on allowing crypto firms to offer stablecoin rewards is within reach. One source mentioned that an end-of-month deadline doesn’t seem far-fetched, with talks destined to continue in the days ahead,” Terrett noted with a sage nod.

A hearty thank you to @PatrickJWitt, @HarryYJung, Nick Elliot, and the Administration for championing this noble cause.

Serious engagement begets durable policy-and that’s how we maintain U.S. leadership in the realm of digital assets!

– Summer Mersinger (@SummerMersinger) February 19, 2026

As the wheels of discussion turn ever onward, March 1 looms like a portentous cloud on the horizon, heralding a critical moment in this legislative odyssey. Despite the cacophony of disagreements, market analysts continue to view the bill as a promising boon for the industry-a veritable light at the end of the tunnel.

If fortune favors the bold and this act is indeed passed, it shall mark a monumental stride toward quelling regulatory uncertainty, providing a clearer path for the crypto sector to traverse-like a ship sailing smoothly towards the harbor of clarity.

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2026-02-20 15:37