HBAR Inches Higher, But Looming Golden Crossover Hints at Bigger Move Ahead

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The price of HBAR has been quietly slumbering this week, barely budging. But such tranquility rarely lasts long, does it? Trading around $0.24, it’s up by a modest 2% in the last 24 hours, but don’t be fooled-over the past three months, it’s surged by 66%. Not bad, huh?

Underneath this seemingly uneventful calm, though, money flows and chart patterns are whispering that the HBAR slumber might soon end-and a far more dramatic move could be on the horizon.

Big Money Flows In, While Smart Money Stays Cautious

The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF)-an indicator that measures whether buying or selling pressure is stronger-has started to shift upward with quite some flair. On September 11, it was at -0.06, and by September 17, it had surged to +0.16. Quite the leap, wouldn’t you say?

This sudden rise indicates that the whales (those big wallet holders) are making their quiet moves, slowly scooping up HBAR, possibly anticipating a longer-term breakout. No quick profits here-they’re in it for the long haul.

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The Smart Money Index (SMI) offers a different perspective, though. This indicator tracks traders looking for short-term wins. While it’s been creeping back toward 1.00, it’s still hesitant, holding back from crossing the 1.004 threshold-something that would signal stronger participation. So, while the short-term traders are keeping an eye on HBAR, they’re not diving in just yet.

This caution suggests that the faster traders are watching for a bigger move to validate their interest, waiting for a breakout above a key level before committing more funds. Patience is key, after all.

Now, onto the fun stuff-the 4-hour chart is flashing a “golden” crossover. You see, the 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), represented by the sky-blue line, is sneaking up on the 200-period EMA, the deep blue line. Oh, how they inch closer to each other.

When the 100 EMA crosses above the 200 EMA, it’s often seen as a sign that shorter-term momentum has the strength to nudge the broader price trend upwards. You don’t say!

The Exponential Moving Average (EMA), for the uninitiated, is a trend line that puts more weight on recent prices, allowing it to react quicker to market shifts than the simple moving average. Talk about being ahead of the curve!

The Cup-and-Handle Breakout Is Still In Play for HBAR

On the daily chart, HBAR has already broken free from the handle of the classic cup-and-handle pattern. And if history is any guide, such breakouts usually signal the end of consolidation. This is in perfect alignment with the story being told by the CMF and the Smart Money flows that, while cautious, are certainly growing.

The neckline, or the key resistance level we’ve been talking about, is $0.25. If the price closes above this level on a daily candle, it’ll confirm the breakout. That would point to a target near $0.31-where both the whales and the short-term traders might converge, pushing the rally into high gear.

But let’s not get ahead of ourselves. If the price fails to maintain momentum, support is available at $0.23 and $0.22. And if it falls under $0.21-the base of the cup-well, that would spoil the bullish setup altogether. Game over.

For now, the mix of whale inflows, cautious but growing Smart Money, and the impending golden crossover suggests that the rally setup for Hedera (HBAR) is still alive and kicking. Whether it heads toward $0.31 will depend on how the price handles the neckline in the coming days. Stay tuned!

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2025-09-18 13:57