Is the Bitcoin Bull Run Finally Toast? Experts Say Don’t Get Too Cozy đŸ‚đŸ’„

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So, Bitcoin hit a new all-time high in July-big deal, right? Then it just… slowed down. Ethereum also got its little high-five in August, but the rest of the altcoin gang? Crickets. No parade, no “altseason” fireworks, nada. Naturally, people are whispering about the “cycle top,” which sounds fancy but basically means, “Hey, maybe it’s time to panic about a bear market.” Because why not? 🙄

Bitcoin Halving Trend Says Bull Market Is Over

Enter Philakone, crypto’s version of your know-it-all neighbor, now tweeting to his 170,000+ fans about where we are in this rollercoaster. He’s digging into the past two bull runs to see how long these things last-from Bitcoin halving day to the big “oh no” moment. Spoiler: it’s sort of like waiting for a soup to cool-but with your money on the stove.

Basically, Bitcoin halving has been the crystal ball for predicting when bulls go “moo” and bears start their sad trombone. In 2017, it took 545 days of bull partying after the 2016 halving before things went downhill. In 2020? Another 525 days of bulls, then boom, they left the party. So you got these neat little windows-if you like guessing right, that is.

Right now, we’re sitting at day 506 of this bull run, Bitcoin’s been setting records like it’s going out of style, but Philakone’s waving the red flag: “Less than 30 days left, folks, start packing up your gains!” And he’s not shy about it – “100% over.” Yeah, that sounds definitive-like your in-laws showing up early kind of definitive.

4-Year Cycle Theory Getting Tossed Out

Once upon a time, the Bitcoin 4-year cycle was the gospel truth, predicting highs and lows like clockwork. Now? It’s getting kicked to the curb because of all these “macro headwinds” – a fancy way to say “stuff we can’t control.” Spot Bitcoin ETFs barged in, dumped liquidity everywhere like it was a VIP party, sending BTC soaring ahead of schedule and leaving altcoins stuck playing catch-up.

But wait, the plot thickens! Some crypto philosophers like antiprosynthesis.eth say, “Forget the 4-year theory, it was just macro liquidity doing its thing every four years.” Bear markets? Just times when the money faucet slows down. Bull markets? When it turns back on. So now, according to this school of thought, we’re just riding the wave of happy liquidity again. Makes you feel like you should’ve been a lifeguard instead.

Crypto Cycle Chart

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2025-09-10 12:43