Ah, Solana (SOL), the tempestuous darling of the crypto realm, hath plummeted 4.3% in the fleeting span of 24 hours. One might whimsically dismiss this as a mere pause, a breath caught after the frenzied ascent, but alas, the on-chain whispers paint a far more tormented tableau. 🌪️
Behold, both the fleeting and the steadfast holders stand at the precipice of greed and fear, their hands trembling over the sell button. The charts, those cruel harbingers of fate, sketch a pattern that doth forebode a deeper, more existential correction. Read on, dear soul, and despair-or perhaps chuckle at the absurdity of it all! 😂
Short-Term Holders: Dancing on the Razor’s Edge of Greed 🤑
The short-term holders, those fickle creatures of impulse, find themselves basking in the glow of unrealized profits, with the STH-NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) perched at a tantalizing 0.093. Ah, how reminiscent of that fateful May, when SOL tumbled from $183 to $131, leaving hearts shattered and wallets lighter! This NUPL, a siren’s call, beckons them to lock in gains, lest they be consumed by the flames of hope and fear. 🔥
Though this metric doth not scream “sell,” it doth murmur of an environment ripe for profit-taking, should the price momentum falter. The market, though not yet overheated, teeters on the brink of caution. A delicate balance, indeed, between greed and prudence. 🤡
STH-NUPL, that arcane measure of the average unrealized profit or loss of coins held by short-term holders, doth reveal their temptation to sell when profits loom large. A tale as old as time itself. ⏳
For token TA and market updates: Yearn for more such insights? Subscribe to Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter, where despair and elation dance in equal measure. 📰
Long-Term Holders: The Silent Architects of Doom 🤫
If short-term holders are the sparks, long-term holders are the smoldering embers, setting the stage for a bearish inferno. Lo, they have been trimming their positions, a subtle yet portentous sign. The Solana price, ever the obedient servant, hath mirrored their every move. When they dip, it dips; when they hold, it holds. A tragic symphony of trust and betrayal. 🎻
The Hodler Net Position Change metric, that grim chronicler of monthly accumulation or distribution, hath been dipping for weeks. Long-term holders, once the stalwart guardians of SOL, now sell more than they buy, their resolve waning in the face of resistance. A sad spectacle, indeed. 😢
This retreat of the “strong hands” doth leave the SOL price vulnerable, bereft of its buffer against pullbacks. Coupled with the greed of short-term holders, it paints a picture of collective selling pressure, a chorus of despair. 🖤
The Two-Day Chart: A Descending Triangle of Despair 🔻
The price action, that cruel mirror of human folly, doth reinforce the on-chain narrative. On the two-day timeframe, Solana forms a descending triangle-a pattern of lower highs pressing against a flat support base. A structure oft seen in distribution phases, where rallies wither and breakdown risk looms large. A tragic ballet of hope and despair. 💔
This descending triangle, a bearish harbinger, forms when sellers cap highs while buyers cling to a fixed support. Should support fail, the pressure resolves downward, a descent into the abyss. A fate all too familiar in the crypto realm. 🕳️
Immediate resistance stands at $186, with support at $169 and $158. A close below $158 would confirm the breakdown, opening the gates to deeper despair. The $147 level, that fateful threshold, would flip the structure bearish in the mid-term. A grim prognosis, indeed. ☠️
Yet, hope flickers still. Should SOL break and close above $186, accompanied by falling short-term holder NUPL and a return to net accumulation by long-term holders, the bearish case might weaken. A path to $205 could yet unfold, though such optimism feels fleeting in this tempestuous tale. 🌟
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2025-08-12 19:37