The Fed’s Sobering Promise and Bitcoin’s Chaotic Love Affair

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Welcome, my naive, crypto-nurturing friends to yet another spectacular episode in the life and times of our star-crossed lovers: Bitcoin (BTC) and The Federal Reserve. (And really, who wouldn’t be in love?)

Our beloved BTC is still twirling around the stage-more like a tired, dance-off cold homeowner around $90,000 lately. This congestion phase, I must add, is like me at a party when someone mentions child support just as everyone’s about to leave. It’s disheartening but also kinda defines humankind, huh?

Meanwhile, a fierce, descending trendline is like that intrusive neighbor you just can’t cross-not unless you’re ready to face the dire consequences. Just when you thought things couldn’t get more dramatic, institutional flows are acting like a faint, teasing hint of second-hand smoke-simply not enough to whet the appetite anymore. Surprisingly, Strategy added a modest stash of BTC to its treasury, because who doesn’t love surprise ICE for tea?

The Fed Is Being a Moody Teenager Again

Our precious Bitcoin tried to strut into the week like it had a seat on an episode of “Succession,” only to trip over shoes of caution. The Fed conveniently lowered interest rates by a measly 25 bps, then said, “rate cut, I’ll think about it for January.”

But, like a plot twist in a reality show, the market sentiment got the upper lip quiver straight from the mid-90s. The FOMC obviously decided to keep up the mysterious façade of projecting just one rate cut going on till 2026. The cocktail table gasps were audible when disappointing Oracle earnings and an overpowered Fed had the market playing hard to get.

With no major US data ticking boxes, our crypto high-society awaits dramatic omens from FOMC speeches (read: they cling to hints like male models on gray days).

💡Unless some genius comes up with a bright flash-in-the-pan, Bitcoin is going to mope into its own niche therapy group soon.

Russia-Ukraine Keeps The World on the Edge

On the grand, open stage of geopolitics, President Zelenskyy and Mr. Trump are playing the salad bowl of Cold War-one involving land bargains and strategic handshakes. These tiresome middle school-like group projects weigh heavy on global risk sentiment, and poor Bitcoin just can’t gain any momentum despite trying.

Institutional Love Notes Are a Subject of Discussion

Old-timey institutional demand for Bitcoin shows a glimmer of excitement-unless it’s another case of bromance gone wrong. Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw enough inflow to maybe buy a double espresso rather than a mansion. We need the full Monty now if BTC is to regain its sparkle.

Enter Strategy Inc. with a Bitcoin splurge that makes headlines. Half a billion dollars’ worth of BTC are simply lolling around in their treasury like a limo-riding, covid-testing cousin-a bit too entitled and with a lot of energy to put in circulatory rest.

Easing Selling Pressure – A Plot Twist?

CryptoQuant, the wiser-than-thou friend, suggests that selling pressure is easing like an awkward pause in a cringe scene. Large players might have finally realized ‘you’re barking up the wrong tree’. With a little more peace,  Bitcoin could reach the rumored $99,000 turf.

Copper Research, ever the dramatist, hints that Bitcoin has swapped death for a regenerative sabbatical. Aeternally, it flirts back and forth like an insecure fan at a blues concert-pulling back to its cost basis but rebounding with the energy that only love-hate relationships know.

Is the Bitcoin Santa Rally Awakening?

November’s serious mood shaved 17% off of BTC’s value, dampening those delightful holiday fantasies. Meanwhile, CoinGlass’s graphs keep track of whether it’s ready for a month of love (hint: December loves Bitcoin).

So far, 2025 Q4 hasn’t been exactly a block-buster, with 19% disappointment, but who can blame it? We’ve all seen Q4 reboots.

Is BTC Setting a Bottom?

We’re witnessing a cryptic romance unfold in the charts. BTC wobbles on its 100-week EMA tightrope, maybe looking to stabilize a little with two consecutive green candles, practically trying to impress, like a pair of pants with suspenders. Watching this act can either be about to breakthrough to big things or just pull the plug.

The daily chart brings more fireworks as Bitcoin gets a leg up by testing the $90,000 mark yet again. Having crossed demon trendlines and Fibonacci retracement levels off the cuff is like proving your excellence at game night without so much as a choice in snacks.

🔨And to end it all, MACD is stubbornly sticking with its bullish crossover, like a bad cup of coffee that won’t let itself go.

If BTC tries to downplay its glory again, brace yourselves for a tango with the 78.6% Fibonacci level. It’s pretty chilly at $85,569.

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2025-12-13 05:12