Will 4 Billion Folks Really Be Chasin’ Crypto by 2030? You Won’t Believe This!

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Now gather ’round, friends, and hear the tall tale of Raoul Pal – a feller who runs something fancy called Global Macro Investor and Real Vision, and who reckons there’ll be 4 billion crypto users by 2030. That’s right, four billion! Seems like everybody’s gonna be dancin’ on that digital money fiddle like it’s the hottest hoedown in the wild west.

On one of them “Sunday X” posts – which I reckon is the new town square gossip – Raoul laid out a chart showing crypto takin’ off faster than the internet did back in the day. He says it’s growin’ at twice the speed, with wallets poppin’ up like tumbleweeds in a prairie storm. According to his reckonin’, crypto wallets have been sproutin’ at a whopping 137% a year for nine years straight, reachin’ 659 million folks by the time 2024 waves goodbye. For comparison, the internet only had about 187 million users at the turn of the century, growin’ at a mere 76% annually – slowpokes, if you ask me.

Raoul’s crystal ball sees the growth slowin’ to a “mere” 43% next year, hittin’ a cool 1 billion users by the end of 2025 – that’s a whole eighth of Earth’s crowd, if my math’s right. And if your jaw ain’t on the floor yet, he reckons crypto’s market value might sizzle past $100 trillion before 2032. His two magic words? Adoption and debasement. Now, I’m no economist, but he says debasement explains 90% of the price dance, while adoption covers the other 100% of the outperformance. I figure you need a pocket calculator just to keep up with that recipe!

But don’t think all’s as rosy as a rooster’s comb. Raoul gets right ticked off at folks fretin’ over whether September’s gonna be a mean ol’ bear for Bitcoin. He calls that worryin’ a “narrow, short-term way of thinkin’,” which is just a fancy way of sayin’ folks are actin’ like hens countin’ eggs before they hatch.

He even showcased a chart comparin’ Bitcoin’s roadmap from mid-2017 to early 2018 – when it took a rocket from about $1,400 in April to a staggering $19,000 by Christmas – then slid on to a wild projection of $240,000 by December 2025. That kind of growth would make a frog’s leap look like a slow crawl.

Of course, the peanut gallery didn’t stay quiet. Some outfit called @attackonbitcoin grumbled that wallets ain’t a real honest measure of growth. Another, @thejusticefagan, suggested crypto project founders might just be bakin’ up a storm of fake wallets to make themselves look popular. Meanwhile, a third, @pravijn, said he’s been spinning up new wallets every six months just for kicks. Raoul shot back with a sensible retort – folks also own a mess of different IP addresses, so the count’s trickier than a fox in a henhouse.

More Wild Predictions from the Crypto Frontier

Now, Raoul ain’t the only sharp-shooter yammerin’ about crypto’s wild future. Come May 2025, at some fancy Bitcoin shindig, the U.S. Vice Prez, JD Vance, flaunted that 50 million Americans already own Bitcoin, and he’s bettin’ on hundreds of millions more jumpin’ aboard soon. That’s a whole lot of greenbacks makin’ the rounds!

Then there’s a fancy report from October 2024 by the crypto bigwigs at Andreessen Horowitz, who reckon 30 to 60 million folks are dancin’ monthly in the crypto corral. And Willy Woo, a man with a knack for on-chain wizardry, chimed in this April saying the crypto posse could hit its very first billion users by 2025’s end. If that ain’t a tall tale fit for a campfire, I don’t know what is.

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2025-09-01 15:47