It seems like XRP just can’t catch a break. Ever since that glorious rally in November 2024, it’s been stuck in a dull, sideways shuffle, and everyone’s asking, “What gives?” Well, one analyst, José Luis Cava, has a theory, and it’s as simple as it is ominous – control.
In a recent video, Cava pointed his finger at the big invisible hand—Ripple’s central authority—that’s been steering XRP’s market fate. Despite XRP’s strong technical foundation, Cava insists there’s one thing dragging the poor thing down: control. A few key factors are standing in the way of XRP’s freedom: a limited supply, Ripple’s centralized grip, and, let’s face it, a lack of institutional love.
The Ripple Effect (Spoiler: It’s Not Good)
Let’s break this down. Unlike Bitcoin or Ethereum, XRP didn’t have to slog through the whole mining ordeal. Nope, when it was born, it came into the world fully pre-mined with a whopping 100 billion tokens, and guess what? None will be minted again. Ripple Labs grabbed 80% of that supply right out of the gate and—surprise, surprise—they still hold about 42% of it as of mid-2025.
Oh, and did I mention that roughly 35% of this stash is locked up in monthly escrow accounts? And another 7% is chilling in Ripple’s wallets like an overstuffed couch? Each month, Ripple releases up to 1 billion XRP. Guess who gets to control the supply? Yep, you guessed it—Ripple. No wonder XRP’s price is as predictable as a cat on a hot tin roof.
This level of control has led to some eyebrow-raising debates about whether XRP can actually claim to be decentralized. After all, market movements don’t seem to reflect real demand anymore, and Cava is calling foul.
“Only one hand can perfectly determine XRP’s price direction—and I don’t like that,” Cava said, probably while shaking his head and muttering, “Not again…”
Where’s the Institutional Love?
Now, XRP was designed for the slick job of facilitating fast, low-cost cross-border payments, which sounds like something banks and institutions would *love*. But… crickets. Despite this utility, XRP hasn’t exactly been the go-to token for big financial players like Bitcoin and Ethereum have been. Why? Well, there’s a little thing called “uncertainty.” The big bad question mark of whether Ripple’s deals with central banks will ever see the light of day hangs over XRP like a dark cloud. And guess what? Big investors aren’t fond of cloudy weather.
“Look at XRP’s chart. It jumped in November 2024, and then it just… stayed there. That’s not a healthy trend,” Cava says, giving Bitcoin a glare from across the room.
The Case of the Two-Ledger Conundrum
Another interesting tidbit (or rather, “mystery”) about XRP is its two-faced ledger architecture. On the one hand, there’s the public XRP Ledger—open for all the retail transactions, like a 24/7 convenience store. On the other hand, Ripple has quietly developed a separate, permissioned ledger for central banks to play with while they plan the next big thing—CBDCs.
“Why would banks bother using XRP’s public network if Ripple already gives them access to private ones? Banks can’t afford to have their every move splashed across the front page like they’re in a reality show,”
— Jake Claver, QFOP (@beyond_broke) May 22, 2025
The thing is, this private ledger is like a VIP-only club. It’s not public, and certainly not auditable. While some optimistic folks speculate that the two ledgers will merge into one beautiful, harmonious system… well, Ripple isn’t exactly confirming that anytime soon. For investors, the lack of transparency raises all kinds of red flags, like a bull charging at a parade.
“Talk of the private ledger on the XRPL began when #Ripple confirmed a private blockchain in 2021. Many, including myself, have seen high $XRP prices, now believed to be stress tests for future utility. XRP is revealing itself in real time, facts are there, just ignored.”
— Versan | Black Swan Capitalist (@VersanAljarrah) March 18, 2025
Trapped in the Sideways Spiral
Technically speaking, XRP is still doing its job. But structurally? Oh boy, it’s in a bit of a pickle. High concentration of tokens, minimal demand, and a lack of transparency are keeping XRP from breaking free and soaring to new heights. Cava suggests that unless Ripple gets its act together, decentralizes, and opens up its operation—well, XRP might be stuck doing the sideways shuffle for the foreseeable future.
As Cava pointed out, momentum won’t come back unless there’s a real shift in the governance dynamics. In the meantime, XRP’s price will likely remain locked in place like a hamster on a wheel, running but getting nowhere.
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2025-07-09 00:17